Please join us for a RACC Seminar with Liv Herdman, Mechanical Engineering, University of Vermont
Date: Thursday October 24th at 2:30pm.
Location 80 Colchester Ave.
An introduction to hydrodynamic modeling of aquatic environments: how modeling can address challenges faced by Lake Champlain
Regime shifts are massive, sometimes irreversible, changes in feedback processes that occur when complex systems pass tipping points. Regime shifts are ubiquitous in nature and may have severe consequences for human wellbeing. Examples of regime shifts include eutrophication in lakes, desertification, and fisheries collapses. Theoretical evidence suggests that statistical anomalies may be detectable leading indicators of regime shifts in time series, making it possible to foresee and potentially avert unwanted change. I review conditions where regime shifts can be foreseen by early warning statistics and provide evidence of the efficacy of these statistics based on a whole-ecosystem regime shift experiment.